a good year for the Democrats. They scored a pickup of 41 seats in the House, winning the national vote by 8.4% – despite losing two Senate seats. As you can see, however, the generic ballot ...

An alternative to voting in person is voting by mail. A grass-roots visual art campaign has launched, featuring a series of three posters proclaiming “COVID Can’t stop us, Be safe, Vote by mail.” Mail ...

(1) Nate discusses the generic ballot (the percentage of survey respondents who say they would vote for the Democrat ... of days before the election is a good predictor of the ultimate outcome ...

Democrats lead on the generic ballot question mainly because of a slight advantage in partisan intensity. Eighty-eight percent (88%) of Democratic voters would vote for their party’s ...

So while it might seem that the generic ballot is too broad a measure to forecast the outcome, it has proven to be an accurate predictor of the partisan distribution of the national vote. The final ...

I think that what you would like to have happen in the country is good, ultimately ... kicking and screaming, to vote for a generic Democrat — or even Elizabeth Warren. Don’t you want my ...

But the House isn't decided by a national vote, of course - it's 435 separate elections - and that generic vote number leaves us wondering what it specifically means for seats won or lost.

Over the years Republicans have tended to do better in actual House elections than they have on the generic vote question — although in recent cycles less so, perhaps because the balance of ...

and 45 percent saying they would vote Republican. Generic ballots are considered an important bellwether for how a party’s candidates will fare in an election. Republican lawmakers are concerned ...